Championship
Wrexham vs Birmingham City
Saturday, Aug 29, 14:00
Consensus
Medium · 61.4%Wrexham
64.7%
Draw
20.4%
Birmingham City
14.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 63.1% | 27.8% | 9.0% |
| poisson | 73.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% |
| elo | 46.6% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
- Wrexham wPPG 1.68 (home 1.63, L-W-W-W-W)
- Birmingham City wPPG 0.89 (away 1.25, L-D-L-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.22
- xG Wrexham 3.00 vs Birmingham City 1.25
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Wrexham 1522 vs Birmingham City 1491
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).