Championship
Southampton vs Millwall
Saturday, Aug 29, 14:00
Consensus
Medium · 56.4%Southampton
57.2%
Draw
27.9%
Millwall
14.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 57.4% | 30.3% | 12.2% |
| poisson | 61.2% | 27.1% | 11.7% |
| elo | 47.9% | 25.3% | 26.8% |
- Southampton wPPG 1.83 (home 2.38, L-W-D-W-W)
- Millwall wPPG 1.38 (away 1.57, D-L-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.97
- xG Southampton 1.30 vs Millwall 0.38
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Southampton 1563 vs Millwall 1522
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).