Championship
Wrexham vs Watford
Saturday, Aug 22, 14:00
Consensus
Low · 42.0%Wrexham
46.4%
Draw
26.1%
Watford
27.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 42.9% | 35.7% | 21.4% |
| poisson | 48.5% | 20.6% | 30.9% |
| elo | 44.8% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
- Wrexham wPPG 1.68 (home 1.63, L-W-W-W-W)
- Watford wPPG 1.49 (away 1.43, D-D-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.43
- xG Wrexham 1.85 vs Watford 1.43
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Wrexham 1522 vs Watford 1503
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).