Championship
Southampton vs Stoke City
Saturday, Aug 22, 14:00
Consensus
Medium · 68.0%Southampton
68.9%
Draw
23.7%
Stoke City
7.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 70.1% | 24.2% | 5.6% |
| poisson | 73.2% | 22.5% | 4.3% |
| elo | 54.2% | 22.3% | 23.5% |
- Southampton wPPG 1.83 (home 2.38, L-W-D-W-W)
- Stoke City wPPG 1.00 (away 1.00, L-L-W-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.58
- xG Southampton 1.52 vs Stoke City 0.17
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Southampton 1563 vs Stoke City 1478
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).