Championship
Lincoln City vs Portsmouth
Saturday, Aug 22, 14:00
Consensus
Medium · 67.0%Lincoln City
71.1%
Draw
18.2%
Portsmouth
10.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 67.9% | 25.5% | 6.6% |
| poisson | 80.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| elo | 50.6% | 24.0% | 25.4% |
- Lincoln City wPPG 2.09 (home 2.22, L-W-D-W-W)
- Portsmouth wPPG 1.06 (away 1.33, D-D-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.45
- xG Lincoln City 2.93 vs Portsmouth 0.81
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Lincoln City 1560 vs Portsmouth 1500
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).