Championship
Derby County vs Cardiff City
Saturday, Aug 22, 14:00
Consensus
Low · 15.6%Derby County
33.7%
Draw
31.2%
Cardiff City
35.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 27.2% | 38.6% | 34.2% |
| poisson | 34.7% | 27.8% | 37.5% |
| elo | 39.5% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
- Derby County wPPG 1.24 (home 1.29, D-W-D-D-L)
- Cardiff City wPPG 1.73 (away 1.71, W-W-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.14
- xG Derby County 0.99 vs Cardiff City 1.05
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Derby County 1519 vs Cardiff City 1538
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).