Championship
Watford vs Southampton
Sunday, Aug 16, 12:30
Consensus
Low · 42.7%Watford
24.3%
Draw
27.9%
Southampton
47.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 18.2% | 33.9% | 47.9% |
| poisson | 23.0% | 21.6% | 55.4% |
| elo | 34.0% | 32.0% | 34.0% |
- Watford wPPG 1.49 (home 1.38, D-D-W-W-W)
- Southampton wPPG 1.83 (away 2.43, L-W-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.61
- xG Watford 0.99 vs Southampton 1.71
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Watford 1503 vs Southampton 1563
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).