Championship
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City
Saturday, Aug 15, 14:00
Consensus
Low · 33.6%Middlesbrough
43.1%
Draw
32.8%
Lincoln City
24.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 23.7% | 36.8% | 39.4% |
| poisson | 58.4% | 28.3% | 13.3% |
| elo | 39.1% | 29.5% | 31.4% |
- Middlesbrough wPPG 1.36 (home 1.71, L-D-L-L-W)
- Lincoln City wPPG 2.09 (away 2.33, L-W-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.32
- xG Middlesbrough 1.24 vs Lincoln City 0.41
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Middlesbrough 1538 vs Lincoln City 1560
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).