Championship
Charlton Athletic vs Derby County
Saturday, Aug 15, 14:00
Consensus
Low · 29.7%Charlton Athletic
29.7%
Draw
30.3%
Derby County
40.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 23.6% | 36.8% | 39.6% |
| poisson | 29.5% | 26.1% | 44.5% |
| elo | 37.4% | 30.3% | 32.3% |
- Charlton Athletic wPPG 0.79 (home 1.38, L-D-W-L-L)
- Derby County wPPG 1.24 (away 1.63, D-W-D-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.32
- xG Charlton Athletic 0.95 vs Derby County 1.25
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Charlton Athletic 1484 vs Derby County 1519
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).