Brasileirão Betano
Bahia vs Chapecoense
Friday, Jul 17, 23:30
Consensus
Medium · 69.1%Bahia
73.4%
Draw
19.2%
Chapecoense
7.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 71.6% | 24.0% | 4.4% |
| poisson | 82.1% | 13.3% | 4.6% |
| elo | 51.5% | 23.6% | 24.9% |
- Bahia wPPG 1.80 (home 1.25, W-D-W-D-W)
- Chapecoense wPPG 0.35 (away 0.14, L-D-D-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.74
- xG Bahia 2.24 vs Chapecoense 0.32
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Bahia 1506 vs Chapecoense 1440
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).