Scottish Premiership
Motherwell vs Aberdeen
Saturday, Aug 22, 14:00
Consensus
High · 77.0%Motherwell
86.2%
Draw
11.7%
Aberdeen
2.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 74.5% | 24.0% | 1.5% |
| poisson | 95.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| elo | 59.0% | 20.0% | 21.0% |
- Motherwell wPPG 1.69 (home 2.56, W-D-D-W-D)
- Aberdeen wPPG 0.27 (away 0.11, L-D-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.44
- xG Motherwell 3.29 vs Aberdeen 0.10
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Motherwell 1569 vs Aberdeen 1449
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).