UEFA Conference League
OFK Petrovac vs FK Žalgiris
Thursday, Jul 09, 18:45
Consensus
Medium · 54.1%OFK Petrovac
59.1%
Draw
22.5%
FK Žalgiris
18.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 46.9% | 34.3% | 18.8% |
| poisson | 74.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% |
| elo | 40.8% | 28.6% | 30.5% |
- OFK Petrovac wPPG 1.25 (home 2.20, L-L-W-D-W)
- FK Žalgiris wPPG 1.46 (away 1.00, W-W-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.57
- xG OFK Petrovac 2.89 vs FK Žalgiris 1.08
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo OFK Petrovac 1513 vs FK Žalgiris 1522
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).