UEFA Conference League
AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov
Tuesday, Jul 07, 18:00
Consensus
Medium · 55.3%AF Elbasani
57.8%
Draw
32.6%
BATE Borisov
9.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 56.2% | 30.8% | 13.0% |
| poisson | 62.2% | 34.0% | 3.8% |
| elo | 43.9% | 27.2% | 28.9% |
- AF Elbasani wPPG 1.44 (home 1.78, D-W-D-D-W)
- BATE Borisov wPPG 0.98 (away 0.38, D-W-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.92
- xG AF Elbasani 1.06 vs BATE Borisov 0.10
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo AF Elbasani 1522 vs BATE Borisov 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).