UEFA Conference League
Differdange FC 03 vs Ilves
Wednesday, Jul 08, 17:30
Consensus
Medium · 62.7%Differdange FC 03
70.5%
Draw
17.2%
Ilves
12.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 51.8% | 32.5% | 15.7% |
| poisson | 87.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| elo | 46.6% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
- Differdange FC 03 wPPG 1.45 (home 2.25, W-D-D-L-D)
- Ilves wPPG 1.60 (away 1.17, D-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.75
- xG Differdange FC 03 4.17 vs Ilves 1.11
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Differdange FC 03 1566 vs Ilves 1535
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).