UEFA Conference League
FC Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey
Thursday, Jul 09, 16:00
Consensus
Medium · 61.8%FC Alashkert
66.8%
Draw
21.0%
Yelimay Semey
12.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 58.8% | 29.8% | 11.4% |
| poisson | 79.9% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| elo | 45.7% | 26.3% | 28.0% |
- FC Alashkert wPPG 1.60 (home 2.29, W-W-L-W-L)
- Yelimay Semey wPPG 1.39 (away 1.00, W-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.02
- xG FC Alashkert 2.43 vs Yelimay Semey 0.54
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Alashkert 1535 vs Yelimay Semey 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).