UEFA Conference League
FC Hegelmann vs Paide Linnameeskond
Thursday, Jul 09, 16:00
Consensus
Medium · 54.1%FC Hegelmann
58.0%
Draw
24.1%
Paide Linnameeskond
17.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 57.2% | 30.4% | 12.4% |
| poisson | 68.2% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| elo | 38.2% | 29.9% | 31.9% |
- FC Hegelmann wPPG 1.90 (home 2.00, W-L-W-W-W)
- Paide Linnameeskond wPPG 1.59 (away 1.00, W-L-D-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.96
- xG FC Hegelmann 2.26 vs Paide Linnameeskond 0.93
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Hegelmann 1506 vs Paide Linnameeskond 1535
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).