VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen
Saturday, Aug 29, 19:00
Consensus
Low · 33.6%PEC Zwolle
31.8%
Draw
25.3%
NEC Nijmegen
42.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 14.6% | 31.9% | 53.5% |
| poisson | 45.7% | 17.4% | 36.9% |
| elo | 33.2% | 31.2% | 35.7% |
- PEC Zwolle wPPG 1.10 (home 2.00, L-D-D-L-W)
- NEC Nijmegen wPPG 2.15 (away 2.25, W-W-W-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.81
- xG PEC Zwolle 2.66 vs NEC Nijmegen 2.41
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo PEC Zwolle 1468 vs NEC Nijmegen 1541
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).