VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
Saturday, Aug 15, 16:45
Consensus
Low · 48.1%FC Utrecht
52.9%
Draw
26.8%
AZ Alkmaar
20.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 37.8% | 37.4% | 24.8% |
| poisson | 67.3% | 19.4% | 13.3% |
| elo | 43.0% | 27.6% | 29.4% |
- FC Utrecht wPPG 0.98 (home 1.14, D-D-D-L-L)
- AZ Alkmaar wPPG 1.20 (away 0.86, L-W-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.26
- xG FC Utrecht 1.86 vs AZ Alkmaar 0.65
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Utrecht 1516 vs AZ Alkmaar 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).