VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven
Saturday, Aug 15, 18:00
Consensus
Medium · 50.4%Excelsior
19.4%
Draw
26.4%
PSV Eindhoven
54.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 9.3% | 28.0% | 62.7% |
| poisson | 21.7% | 21.7% | 56.7% |
| elo | 32.3% | 30.3% | 37.4% |
- Excelsior wPPG 0.87 (home 1.38, L-L-W-L-D)
- PSV Eindhoven wPPG 2.00 (away 2.57, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.20
- xG Excelsior 0.93 vs PSV Eindhoven 1.70
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Excelsior 1478 vs PSV Eindhoven 1563
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).