VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht
Saturday, Aug 22, 16:45
Consensus
Low · 23.4%Sparta Rotterdam
37.2%
Draw
33.2%
FC Utrecht
29.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 34.6% | 38.4% | 27.0% |
| poisson | 37.2% | 32.4% | 30.4% |
| elo | 40.0% | 29.1% | 31.0% |
- Sparta Rotterdam wPPG 1.09 (home 1.75, W-L-L-D-L)
- FC Utrecht wPPG 0.98 (away 1.63, D-D-D-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.16
- xG Sparta Rotterdam 0.87 vs FC Utrecht 0.75
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Sparta Rotterdam 1500 vs FC Utrecht 1516
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).