VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag
Saturday, Aug 08, 19:00
Consensus
Medium · 51.3%AZ Alkmaar
60.3%
Draw
20.9%
ADO Den Haag
18.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 31.7% | 39.4% | 28.9% |
| poisson | 83.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| elo | 40.8% | 28.6% | 30.5% |
- AZ Alkmaar wPPG 1.20 (home 2.13, L-W-L-D-W)
- ADO Den Haag wPPG 1.80 (away 1.71, W-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.06
- xG AZ Alkmaar 4.47 vs ADO Den Haag 1.57
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo AZ Alkmaar 1509 vs ADO Den Haag 1519
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).