VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, Aug 29, 16:45
Consensus
Medium · 59.9%AZ Alkmaar
66.6%
Draw
21.3%
Go Ahead Eagles
12.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 52.6% | 32.2% | 15.1% |
| poisson | 83.0% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| elo | 43.0% | 27.6% | 29.4% |
- AZ Alkmaar wPPG 1.20 (home 2.13, L-W-L-D-W)
- Go Ahead Eagles wPPG 0.76 (away 0.86, D-D-L-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.78
- xG AZ Alkmaar 2.48 vs Go Ahead Eagles 0.43
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo AZ Alkmaar 1509 vs Go Ahead Eagles 1503
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).