VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax
Sunday, Aug 09, 12:30
Consensus
Low · 24.0%PEC Zwolle
38.4%
Draw
26.8%
AFC Ajax
34.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.9% | 34.9% | 45.2% |
| poisson | 56.2% | 18.3% | 25.5% |
| elo | 33.0% | 30.9% | 36.1% |
- PEC Zwolle wPPG 1.10 (home 2.00, L-D-D-L-W)
- AFC Ajax wPPG 1.78 (away 1.38, W-W-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.51
- xG PEC Zwolle 2.28 vs AFC Ajax 1.49
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo PEC Zwolle 1468 vs AFC Ajax 1544
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).