VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
AFC Ajax vs SC Heerenveen
Sunday, Aug 16, 14:45
Consensus
Medium · 67.7%AFC Ajax
76.8%
Draw
15.0%
SC Heerenveen
8.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 60.8% | 28.9% | 10.3% |
| poisson | 91.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| elo | 48.8% | 24.8% | 26.3% |
- AFC Ajax wPPG 1.78 (home 2.43, W-W-W-D-W)
- SC Heerenveen wPPG 1.29 (away 1.25, D-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.11
- xG AFC Ajax 3.70 vs SC Heerenveen 0.57
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo AFC Ajax 1544 vs SC Heerenveen 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).