VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
Saturday, Aug 22, 18:00
Consensus
Medium · 69.8%NEC Nijmegen
75.9%
Draw
15.4%
Excelsior
8.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 70.8% | 24.0% | 5.2% |
| poisson | 86.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| elo | 51.1% | 23.8% | 25.1% |
- NEC Nijmegen wPPG 2.15 (home 1.86, W-W-W-D-D)
- Excelsior wPPG 0.87 (away 0.86, L-L-W-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.64
- xG NEC Nijmegen 3.92 vs Excelsior 1.05
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo NEC Nijmegen 1541 vs Excelsior 1478
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).