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Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Tilburg

Saturday, Aug 08, 16:45

Consensus

Low · 41.9%
Go Ahead Eagles
26.6%
Draw
23.7%
Willem II Tilburg
49.7%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form6.6%25.4%67.9%
poisson42.2%15.9%41.9%
elo38.4%29.8%31.8%
  • Go Ahead Eagles wPPG 0.76 (home 1.25, D-D-L-D-D)
  • Willem II Tilburg wPPG 2.35 (away 3.00, W-D-W-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.46
  • xG Go Ahead Eagles 3.26 vs Willem II Tilburg 3.25
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Go Ahead Eagles 1503 vs Willem II Tilburg 1530
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

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