VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Willem II Tilburg vs NEC Nijmegen
Saturday, Aug 15, 14:30
Consensus
Low · 30.7%Willem II Tilburg
40.5%
Draw
27.1%
NEC Nijmegen
32.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 32.0% | 39.3% | 28.7% |
| poisson | 45.6% | 19.7% | 34.7% |
| elo | 40.2% | 28.9% | 30.9% |
- Willem II Tilburg wPPG 2.35 (home 1.33, W-D-W-W-L)
- NEC Nijmegen wPPG 2.10 (away 2.14, W-W-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.07
- xG Willem II Tilburg 1.99 vs NEC Nijmegen 1.71
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Willem II Tilburg 1530 vs NEC Nijmegen 1544
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).