VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
Saturday, Aug 29, 14:30
Consensus
Low · 32.9%Excelsior
41.8%
Draw
28.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
30.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 29.7% | 39.8% | 30.5% |
| poisson | 51.4% | 20.6% | 28.0% |
| elo | 39.1% | 29.5% | 31.4% |
- Excelsior wPPG 0.87 (home 1.38, L-L-W-L-D)
- Sparta Rotterdam wPPG 1.09 (away 1.43, W-L-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.02
- xG Excelsior 1.86 vs Sparta Rotterdam 1.31
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Excelsior 1478 vs Sparta Rotterdam 1500
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).