VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
Saturday, Aug 22, 14:30
Consensus
Low · 49.8%Fortuna Sittard
55.6%
Draw
23.5%
AZ Alkmaar
20.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 39.1% | 36.9% | 23.9% |
| poisson | 73.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
| elo | 38.7% | 29.7% | 31.7% |
- Fortuna Sittard wPPG 1.03 (home 1.38, W-L-L-L-W)
- AZ Alkmaar wPPG 1.20 (away 0.86, L-W-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.31
- xG Fortuna Sittard 3.03 vs AZ Alkmaar 1.24
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Fortuna Sittard 1484 vs AZ Alkmaar 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).