International Friendly Games
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
Wednesday, Jun 10, 16:00
Consensus
Low · 44.0%Pakistan
24.0%
Draw
52.5%
Afghanistan
23.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 44.7% | 35.0% | 20.2% |
| poisson | 8.0% | 74.7% | 17.3% |
| elo | 47.4% | 25.5% | 27.1% |
- Pakistan wPPG 0.32 (home 0.50, L-L-L-L-L)
- Afghanistan wPPG 0.38 (away 0.63, L-D-D-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.50
- xG Pakistan 0.10 vs Afghanistan 0.21
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Pakistan 1482 vs Afghanistan 1444
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).