International Friendly Games
Togo vs Benin
Tuesday, Jun 09, 18:00
Consensus
Low · 48.3%Togo
46.1%
book 40.5%
Draw
29.2%
book 29.7%
Benin
24.6%
book 29.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 52.2% | 32.4% | 15.4% |
| poisson | 56.2% | 26.8% | 17.0% |
| elo | 45.6% | 26.4% | 28.0% |
| market | 40.5% | 29.7% | 29.7% |
- Togo wPPG 1.21 (home 1.25, D-W-L-W-D)
- Benin wPPG 0.69 (away 0.67, L-D-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.76
- xG Togo 1.30 vs Benin 0.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Togo 1505 vs Benin 1480
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.25EV +3.8%Edge 5.6%Kelly 3.0%