International Friendly Games
Tajikistan vs India
Tuesday, Jun 09, 15:00
Consensus
Medium · 69.5%Tajikistan
66.9%
book 54.5%
Draw
19.1%
book 25.1%
India
13.9%
book 20.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 63.1% | 27.9% | 9.0% |
| poisson | 94.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| elo | 45.7% | 26.3% | 28.0% |
| market | 54.5% | 25.1% | 20.4% |
- Tajikistan wPPG 1.54 (home 2.25, W-L-W-W-W)
- India wPPG 0.65 (away 0.20, L-D-D-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.21
- xG Tajikistan 5.22 vs India 0.93
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Tajikistan 1525 vs India 1500
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.70EV +13.8%Edge 12.4%Kelly 19.7%