International Friendly Games
Niger vs Mauritania
Monday, Jun 08, 19:00
Consensus
Low · 49.1%Niger
43.9%
book 31.6%
Draw
29.9%
book 33.2%
Mauritania
26.3%
book 35.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 47.7% | 34.0% | 18.3% |
| poisson | 71.5% | 18.5% | 10.0% |
| elo | 43.6% | 27.3% | 29.1% |
| market | 31.6% | 33.2% | 35.2% |
- Niger wPPG 0.89 (home 1.33, L-L-D-W-L)
- Mauritania wPPG 1.17 (away 0.57, W-D-L-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.60
- xG Niger 1.88 vs Mauritania 0.51
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Niger 1500 vs Mauritania 1490
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.88EV +26.3%Edge 12.3%Kelly 14.0%