International Friendly Games
China vs Thailand
Tuesday, Jun 09, 11:35
Consensus
Low · 40.2%China
34.6%
book 47.9%
Draw
28.5%
book 28.3%
Thailand
36.9%
book 23.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 15.4% | 32.4% | 52.2% |
| poisson | 15.3% | 21.7% | 63.0% |
| elo | 36.8% | 30.6% | 32.6% |
| market | 47.9% | 28.3% | 23.8% |
- China wPPG 0.77 (home 0.75, L-W-L-L-D)
- Thailand wPPG 1.26 (away 3.00, W-D-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.76
- xG China 0.65 vs Thailand 1.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo China 1494 vs Thailand 1533
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 3.75EV +38.2%Edge 13.0%Kelly 13.9%