International Friendly Games
Ethiopia vs Malawi
Tuesday, Jun 09, 09:00
Consensus
Low · 33.6%Ethiopia
33.1%
Draw
43.9%
Malawi
22.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 55.4% | 31.1% | 13.4% |
| poisson | 15.8% | 60.4% | 23.8% |
| elo | 47.0% | 25.7% | 27.3% |
- Ethiopia wPPG 1.70 (home 2.00, W-W-L-W-L)
- Malawi wPPG 1.06 (away 1.60, L-L-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.89
- xG Ethiopia 0.23 vs Malawi 0.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Ethiopia 1525 vs Malawi 1491
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).