International Friendly Games
Kyrgyzstan vs Palestine
Tuesday, Jun 09, 12:30
Consensus
Low · 41.1%Kyrgyzstan
40.2%
book 32.3%
Draw
30.9%
book 31.0%
Palestine
28.8%
book 36.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 39.2% | 36.9% | 23.9% |
| poisson | 59.4% | 27.0% | 13.6% |
| elo | 42.7% | 27.7% | 29.6% |
| market | 32.3% | 31.0% | 36.7% |
- Kyrgyzstan wPPG 0.41 (home 0.83, L-L-D-W-L)
- Palestine wPPG 0.43 (away 0.67, L-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.31
- xG Kyrgyzstan 1.30 vs Palestine 0.44
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Kyrgyzstan 1462 vs Palestine 1458
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.88EV +15.9%Edge 7.9%Kelly 8.4%