International Friendly Games
Bahrain vs Syria
Tuesday, Jun 09, 14:00
Consensus
Low · 49.9%Bahrain
48.5%
book 41.9%
Draw
26.6%
book 29.0%
Syria
24.9%
book 29.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 37.9% | 37.3% | 24.8% |
| poisson | 72.5% | 14.6% | 12.9% |
| elo | 45.1% | 26.6% | 28.3% |
| market | 41.9% | 29.0% | 29.0% |
- Bahrain wPPG 0.22 (home 0.00, D-L-L-L-L)
- Syria wPPG 0.43 (away 0.25, D-D-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.27
- xG Bahrain 2.61 vs Syria 1.00
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Bahrain 1467 vs Syria 1446
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.20EV +6.7%Edge 6.6%Kelly 5.5%