International Friendly Games
DR Congo vs Chile
Tuesday, Jun 09, 16:00
Consensus
Medium · 51.3%DR Congo
50.4%
book 43.3%
Draw
26.7%
book 28.4%
Chile
22.9%
book 28.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 36.0% | 38.0% | 26.0% |
| poisson | 79.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
| elo | 39.9% | 29.1% | 31.0% |
| market | 43.3% | 28.4% | 28.4% |
- DR Congo wPPG 1.76 (home 3.00, D-W-W-W-W)
- Chile wPPG 2.11 (away 1.50, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.20
- xG DR Congo 2.39 vs Chile 0.53
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo DR Congo 1549 vs Chile 1565
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.10EV +5.8%Edge 7.1%Kelly 5.3%