Scottish Premiership

Partick Thistle vs St. Mirren

Thursday, May 21, 19:00

Consensus

Medium · 64.0%
Partick Thistle
55.8%
book 35.8%
Draw
22.7%
book 28.3%
St. Mirren
21.6%
book 35.8%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form73.1%24.0%2.9%
poisson86.8%7.8%5.4%
elo51.1%23.8%25.1%
market35.8%28.3%35.8%
  • Partick Thistle wPPG 1.75 (home 2.29, W-W-D-L-W)
  • St. Mirren wPPG 0.56 (away 0.25, W-D-L-L-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.01
  • xG Partick Thistle 3.73 vs St. Mirren 0.92
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Partick Thistle 1516 vs St. Mirren 1453
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out

Value

  • home 2.57
    EV +43.3%
    Edge 19.9%
    Kelly 27.6%

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