International Friendly Games
Armenia vs Moldova
Tuesday, Jun 09, 15:00
Consensus
Low · 39.0%Armenia
51.3%
book 58.0%
Draw
26.9%
book 24.9%
Moldova
21.8%
book 17.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 27.0% | 38.5% | 34.5% |
| poisson | 57.0% | 22.5% | 20.5% |
| elo | 40.0% | 29.0% | 31.0% |
| market | 58.0% | 24.9% | 17.1% |
- Armenia wPPG 0.24 (home 1.00, L-L-L-L-W)
- Moldova wPPG 0.80 (away 0.43, D-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.15
- xG Armenia 1.61 vs Moldova 0.83
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Armenia 1463 vs Moldova 1479
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 5.25EV +14.3%Edge 4.7%Kelly 3.4%