Ligue 1
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez AF
Friday, May 15, 18:30
Consensus
High · 71.9%Saint-Étienne
71.8%
book 55.4%
Draw
16.5%
book 24.2%
Rodez AF
11.8%
book 20.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 62.6% | 28.1% | 9.3% |
| poisson | 94.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| elo | 52.4% | 23.1% | 24.4% |
| market | 55.4% | 24.2% | 20.4% |
- Saint-Étienne wPPG 1.54 (home 1.80, L-W-L-L-W)
- Rodez AF wPPG 1.04 (away 0.71, D-D-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.19
- xG Saint-Étienne 5.71 vs Rodez AF 1.07
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Saint-Étienne 1564 vs Rodez AF 1491
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.67EV +19.8%Edge 16.3%Kelly 29.6%