Championship
Hull City vs Southampton
Saturday, May 23, 14:00
Consensus
Low · 38.3%Hull City
24.5%
book 19.7%
Draw
26.9%
book 27.6%
Southampton
48.6%
book 52.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 28.4% | 39.2% | 32.4% |
| poisson | 25.6% | 16.6% | 57.8% |
| elo | 37.4% | 30.3% | 32.3% |
| market | 19.7% | 27.6% | 52.7% |
- Hull City wPPG 1.84 (home 1.00, D-W-L-W-W)
- Southampton wPPG 1.54 (away 2.13, L-L-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.08
- xG Hull City 1.86 vs Southampton 2.79
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Hull City 1513 vs Southampton 1547
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 4.50EV +10.1%Edge 4.8%Kelly 2.9%