Pro League
Lommel SK vs FCV Dender
Sunday, May 17, 14:00
Consensus
Medium · 69.6%Lommel SK
62.4%
book 43.5%
Draw
20.6%
book 25.8%
FCV Dender
17.0%
book 30.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 74.7% | 24.0% | 1.3% |
| poisson | 91.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| elo | 54.6% | 22.1% | 23.3% |
| market | 43.5% | 25.8% | 30.7% |
- Lommel SK wPPG 3.07 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W)
- FCV Dender wPPG 1.02 (away 1.13, D-L-D-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.54
- xG Lommel SK 3.26 vs FCV Dender 0.38
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Lommel SK 1560 vs FCV Dender 1472
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.10EV +31.1%Edge 18.9%Kelly 28.3%