Scottish Premiership
Livingston vs Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 17, 13:00
Consensus
Low · 47.0%Livingston
43.3%
book 33.0%
Draw
25.7%
book 26.2%
Kilmarnock
31.0%
book 40.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 45.1% | 34.9% | 20.0% |
| poisson | 67.1% | 17.6% | 15.3% |
| elo | 44.4% | 26.9% | 28.7% |
| market | 33.0% | 26.2% | 40.8% |
- Livingston wPPG 0.39 (home 0.44, D-D-L-L-L)
- Kilmarnock wPPG 0.19 (away 0.33, L-L-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.51
- xG Livingston 2.15 vs Kilmarnock 0.89
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Livingston 1443 vs Kilmarnock 1427
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.82EV +22.1%Edge 10.3%Kelly 12.2%