Scottish Premiership
Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
Sunday, May 17, 13:00
Consensus
Medium · 56.8%Dundee FC
52.0%
book 40.7%
Draw
27.0%
book 26.9%
Aberdeen
21.0%
book 32.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 49.3% | 33.5% | 17.3% |
| poisson | 79.7% | 17.8% | 2.5% |
| elo | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.1% |
| market | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% |
- Dundee FC wPPG 0.62 (home 1.50, L-L-L-W-L)
- Aberdeen wPPG 0.46 (away 0.13, W-L-D-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.65
- xG Dundee FC 1.78 vs Aberdeen 0.13
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Dundee FC 1459 vs Aberdeen 1462
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.30EV +19.6%Edge 11.3%Kelly 15.1%