NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons
Friday, May 15, 23:00
Consensus
Low · 49.8%Cleveland Cavaliers
56.8%
book 61.0%
Detroit Pistons
43.2%
book 39.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| normal | 35.8% | 64.2% |
| elo | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| market | 61.0% | 39.0% |
- Cleveland Cavaliers wPPG 1.35 (home 1.80, W-L-W-L-W)
- Detroit Pistons wPPG 1.44 (away 2.25, W-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.54
- Expected score Cleveland Cavaliers 118.4 vs Detroit Pistons 125.2
- Margin μ=-4.37, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 35.8%
- Elo Cleveland Cavaliers 1620 vs Detroit Pistons 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 2.45EV +5.8%Edge 4.2%Kelly 4.0%