Swiss Super League
FC Lugano vs Basel
Sunday, May 17, 14:30
Consensus
Medium · 63.8%FC Lugano
64.0%
Basel
36.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 74.7% | 25.3% |
| poisson | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| elo | 62.7% | 37.3% |
- FC Lugano wPPG 1.43 (home 1.40, W-W-L-D-D)
- Basel wPPG 0.91 (away 2.00, L-D-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.68
- xG FC Lugano 1.77 vs Basel 1.51
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Lugano 1521 vs Basel 1491
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).