Euroleague
Olympiacos BC vs Fenerbahçe Beko
Friday, May 22, 15:00
Consensus
High · 71.3%Olympiacos BC
68.0%
book 61.8%
Fenerbahçe Beko
32.0%
book 38.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| normal | 87.8% | 12.2% |
| elo | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| market | 61.8% | 38.2% |
- Olympiacos BC wPPG 1.43 (home 2.50, L-W-W-W-W)
- Fenerbahçe Beko wPPG 2.13 (away 1.50, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.26
- Expected score Olympiacos BC 70.1 vs Fenerbahçe Beko 58.6
- Margin μ=13.98, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 87.8%
- Elo Olympiacos BC 1620 vs Fenerbahçe Beko 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.51EV +2.8%Edge 6.2%Kelly 5.4%