IIHF World Championship
Italy vs Canada
Saturday, May 16, 14:20
Consensus
High · 70.5%Italy
9.8%
book 1.5%
Canada
90.2%
book 98.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| elo | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| market | 1.5% | 98.5% |
- Italy wPPG 1.23 (home 1.50, W-W-L-W-L)
- Canada wPPG 1.48 (away 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.36
- Elo Italy 1513 vs Canada 1607
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Match winner prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 34.00EV +232.1%Edge 8.3%Kelly 7.0%