MLB
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles
Saturday, May 16, 20:05
Consensus
Medium · 57.0%Washington Nationals
42.3%
Baltimore Orioles
57.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| elo | 52.5% | 47.5% |
- Washington Nationals wPPG 1.03 (home 0.75, W-W-L-W-L)
- Baltimore Orioles wPPG 0.80 (away 1.29, W-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.16
- xG Washington Nationals 5.41 vs Baltimore Orioles 6.86
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Washington Nationals 1436 vs Baltimore Orioles 1479
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).